Publications
Selected publications
- UK Foreign Direct Investment in Uncertain Economic Times (Journal article - 2024)
2024
The Bank of England consistently overestimates unemployment, with implications for inflation
Milas, K. (2024). The Bank of England consistently overestimates unemployment, with implications for inflation. [LSE Business Review blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2024/10/25/the-bank-of-england-consistently-overestimates-unemployment-with-implications-for-inflation/].
How the chancellor can gauge investor confidence
Milas, K. (2024). How the chancellor can gauge investor confidence. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/9999cd83-722a-4781-be84-811a67b9b544].
UK Foreign Direct Investment in Uncertain Economic Times
Milas, C., Panagiotidis, T., & Papapanagiotou, G. (2024). UK Foreign Direct Investment in Uncertain Economic Times. Journal of International Money and Finance. doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103132
Does raising public sector pay above inflation risk further inflation?
Milas, K. (2024). Does raising public sector pay above inflation risk further inflation?. [LSE Business Review blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2024/08/23/does-raising-public-sector-pay-above-inflation-risk-further-inflation/].
Labour’s settlement of rail union pay demands
Milas, K. (2024). Labour’s settlement of rail union pay demands. [The Times (lead letter). From: https://www.thetimes.com/article/times-letters-labours-settlement-of-rail-union-pay-demands-80nwwc6cw].
Crowning humiliation
Milas, K. (2024). Crowning humiliation. [The Sunday Times (letter). From: https://www.thetimes.com/comment/letters-to-editor/article/highest-earners-should-pay-the-most-gf6wcsvmm].
Online search activity — a proxy for the US election
Milas, K. (2024). Online search activity — a proxy for the US election. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/41dd525c-52a8-4dc4-99cf-b0af3d31106e].
French political uncertainty risks affecting the UK economy
Milas, K. (2024). French political uncertainty risks affecting the UK economy. [LSE Business Review blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2024/06/26/french-political-uncertainty-risks-affecting-the-uk-economy/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
For the next prime minister to solve the UK’s productivity problem, they must attract more foreign investment – here’s how
Milas, K. (2024). For the next prime minister to solve the UK’s productivity problem, they must attract more foreign investment – here’s how. [The Conversation].
Tory manifesto’s concentration on tax cuts
Milas, K. (2024). Tory manifesto’s concentration on tax cuts. [The Times (lead letter). From: https://www.thetimes.com/comment/letters-to-editor/article/times-letters-tory-manifesto-concentration-tax-cuts-j7lxbb0g5]. Retrieved from https://www.thetimes.com/
Why company bosses like to back the winning horse
Milas, K. (2024). Why company bosses like to back the winning horse. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/466009f2-b609-4157-8419-0135939b14fa].
What Ben Bernanke’s review might change in the Bank of England’s forecasting models
Milas, K. (2024). What Ben Bernanke’s review might change in the Bank of England’s forecasting models. [LSE Business Review blog].
Do geopolitical risks influence UK monetary policy?
Milas, K., & Ellington, M. (2024). Do geopolitical risks influence UK monetary policy?. [LSE Business Review blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2024/02/09/do-geopolitical-risks-influence-uk-monetary-policy/].
Sunak’s election timetable
Milas, K. (2024). Sunak’s election timetable. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/cf816391-4832-467b-9f1e-193d28d20b8c].
2023
Forecasting challenges and the UK Economy
Milas, K. (2023). Forecasting challenges and the UK Economy. [Talk given at the 12th Annual Clash of the Titans Forecasting Event, Economic Research Council (https://ercouncil.org/clash-of-the-titans-2023/)].
Of votes and viruses: the UK economy and economic policy uncertainty
Ellington, M., Michalski, M., & Milas, C. (2023). Of votes and viruses: the UK economy and economic policy uncertainty. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 29(16), 1849-1865. doi:10.1080/1351847X.2022.2083978
Inflation: I’ve been analysing the Bank of England’s forecast over the past two years – here’s how they got it wrong
Milas, K. (2023). Inflation: I’ve been analysing the Bank of England’s forecast over the past two years – here’s how they got it wrong. [The Conversation].
Brexit and Coronavirus: Financial Perspectives and Future Prospects
Bissoondeeal, R., Binner, J., & Milas, K. (2023). Brexit and Coronavirus: Financial Perspectives and Future Prospects. The European Journal of Finance. doi:10.1080/1351847X.2023.2249961
How the Bank of England can start to solve its prediction puzzle
Milas, K. (2023). How the Bank of England can start to solve its prediction puzzle. [The Financial Times Alphaville (Opinion piece). From: https://www.ft.com/content/7d5f5347-8f06-49cb-bd3b-599dc97618a7].
Measuring the Bank of England’s global-local dilemma. Transmission impossible?
Milas, K. (2023). Measuring the Bank of England’s global-local dilemma. Transmission impossible?. [Opinion piece, The Financial Times Alphaville. From: https://www.ft.com/content/78744996-cdc5-482b-ad4a-1435cd1c78bb].
Bank of England's credibility
Milas, K. (2023). Bank of England's credibility. [The Times (letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/times-letters-boris-johnson-s-careless-handling-of-truth-and-facts-5j7wmz9qf].
COVID-19 anti-contagion policies and economic support measures in the USA
Dergiades, T., Milas, C., Mossialos, E., & Panagiotidis, T. (2023). COVID-19 anti-contagion policies and economic support measures in the USA. Oxford Economic Papers, 75(3), 613-630. doi:10.1093/oep/gpac031
Virgil’s oft-quoted quip about Greeks and gifts
Milas, K. (2023). Virgil’s oft-quoted quip about Greeks and gifts. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/23e2fc5b-b1fc-4023-9138-065ebe7d8dc7]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/23e2fc5b-b1fc-4023-9138-065ebe7d8dc7
Predicting the short-term outlook for UK interest rates
Milas, K. (2023). Predicting the short-term outlook for UK interest rates. [LSE Blog British Politics and Policy].
Division of opinion over Nigel Lawson’s legacy
Milas, K. (2023). Division of opinion over Nigel Lawson’s legacy. [The Times (letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/times-letters-division-of-opinion-over-lawsons-legacy-tpwv007hb]. Retrieved from https://www.thetimes.co.uk/
Medieval assurances beat any of today’s stress tests
Milas, K. (2023). Medieval assurances beat any of today’s stress tests. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/baf77a3c-6521-43ad-84b8-d2160ed08177].
Raising interest rates in periods of increasing financial stress
Milas, K. (2023). Raising interest rates in periods of increasing financial stress. [The London School of Economics and Political Science Business Review blog at: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2023/03/21/raising-interest-rates-in-periods-of-increasing-financial-stress/].
Bank of England: how is independence working? Written evidence to Economic Affairs Committee, UK Parliament
Milas, K. (2023). Bank of England: how is independence working? Written evidence to Economic Affairs Committee, UK Parliament.
Negotiating a Northern Ireland trade deal
Milas, K. (2023). Negotiating a Northern Ireland trade deal. [The Times (lead letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/times-letters-negotiating-northern-ireland-trade-deal-brexit-pgp729cfd].
UK Foreign Direct Investments in Uncertain Economic Times
2022
A cynical way to deal with UK’s political problems
Milas, K. (2022). A cynical way to deal with UK’s political problems. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/6fe652b7-5854-4d93-a764-dcf682888fe7].
Bank of England bonds rescue has two ugly implications: more inflation and an even weaker pound
Milas, K. (2022). Bank of England bonds rescue has two ugly implications: more inflation and an even weaker pound. [The Conversation. From: https://theconversation.com/bank-of-england-bonds-rescue-has-two-ugly-implications-more-inflation-and-an-even-weaker-pound-191653].
Stamp duty cut and limitless bankers’ bonuses
Milas, K. (2022). Stamp duty cut and limitless bankers’ bonuses. [The Times (letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/times-letters-stamp-duty-cut-and-limitless-bankers-bonuses-ghnfr2clq].
Let’s be realistic about hitting inflation targets
Milas, K. (2022). Let’s be realistic about hitting inflation targets. [Letter to The Financial Times. From: https://www.ft.com/content/846305df-6135-4d26-97e1-74696e8c0731].
Ideas on revising the Bank of England’s mandate and changing the way monetary policy is pursued in the UK
Milas, K. (2022). Ideas on revising the Bank of England’s mandate and changing the way monetary policy is pursued in the UK. [The LSE Business Review blog at: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2022/08/12/ideas-on-revising-the-bank-of-englands-mandate-and-changing-the-way-monetary-policy-is-pursued-in-the-uk/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
Learning from the Tory leadership caravan
Milas, K. (2022). Learning from the Tory leadership caravan. [The Times (lead letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/learning-from-the-tory-leadership-caravan-k3t6gxck5]. Retrieved from https://www.thetimes.co.uk/
Unemployment Claims During COVID-19 and Economic Support Measures in the U.S.
Dergiades, T., Milas, K., & Panagiotidis, T. (n.d.). Unemployment Claims During COVID-19 and Economic Support Measures in the U.S.. Economic Modelling. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2022.105891
Before vaccines, government interventions were more effective at controlling COVID-19 when combined with economic support measures
Dergiades, T., Milas, K., Mossialos, E., & Panagiotidis, T. (2022). Before vaccines, government interventions were more effective at controlling COVID-19 when combined with economic support measures. [USAPP– American Politics and Policy blog. Available from the London School of Economics’ (LSE) Phelan United States Centre at: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2022/07/21/before-vaccines-government-interventions-were-more-effective-at-controlling-covid-19-when-combined-with-economic-support-measures/].
Conservative candidates vs economic reality: what the next Prime Minister needs to consider before promising tax cuts
Milas, K. (2022). Conservative candidates vs economic reality: what the next Prime Minister needs to consider before promising tax cuts. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog at: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/conservative-candidates-vs-economic-reality-what-the-next-prime-minister-needs-to-consider-before-promising-tax-cuts/].
Tory leader hopefuls must be clear on tax cut funding
Milas, K. (2022). Tory leader hopefuls must be clear on tax cut funding. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/50487bfc-1ea7-4861-b92e-c401b23320c3].
UK political resignations: the current uncertainty could affect the economy for nearly two years
Milas, K. (2022). UK political resignations: the current uncertainty could affect the economy for nearly two years. [The Conversation. From: https://theconversation.com/uk-political-resignations-the-current-uncertainty-could-affect-the-economy-for-nearly-two-years-186610].
Can we hide behind COVID-19 when assessing the impact of Brexit on the UK economy?
Ellington, M., Michalski, M., & Milas, K. (2022). Can we hide behind COVID-19 when assessing the impact of Brexit on the UK economy?. [The London School of Economics and Political Science Business Review blog at: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2022/06/27/can-we-hide-behind-covid-19-when-assessing-the-impact-of-brexit-on-the-uk-economy/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
Ongoing uncertainty puts UK closer to recession
Ellington, M., Michalski, M., & Milas, K. (2022). Ongoing uncertainty puts UK closer to recession. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/c3695c66-944a-436c-aabf-5a3ab5494547].
Greater economic support would have softened the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on labor markets across the states
Dergiades, T., Milas, K., & Panagiotidis, T. (2022). Greater economic support would have softened the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on labor markets across the states. [USAPP– American Politics and Policy blog. Available from the London School of Economics’ (LSE) Phelan United States Centre].
Chancellor’s £21 billion spending bonanza
Milas, K. (2022). Chancellor’s £21 billion spending bonanza. [The Times (letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/times-letters-chancellors-21-billion-spending-bonanza-svwfzls9s]. Retrieved from https://www.thetimes.co.uk/
Of Votes and Viruses: The UK Economy and Economic Policy Uncertainty
While higher interest rates are needed in order to halt inflation, sharp and rapid interest increases are far from certain
Milas, K. (2022). While higher interest rates are needed in order to halt inflation, sharp and rapid interest increases are far from certain. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog].
Effectiveness of government policies in response to the first COVID-19 outbreak.
Dergiades, T., Milas, C., Mossialos, E., & Panagiotidis, T. (2022). Effectiveness of government policies in response to the first COVID-19 outbreak.. PLOS global public health, 2(4), e0000242. doi:10.1371/journal.pgph.0000242
Higher UK rates? Not so fast
Milas, K. (2022). Higher UK rates? Not so fast. [The Financial Times Alphaville].
Interest rates are likely to rise by much less than most people are predicting
Milas, K. (2022). Interest rates are likely to rise by much less than most people are predicting. [The Conversation. From: https://theconversation.com/interest-rates-are-likely-to-rise-by-much-less-than-most-people-are-predicting-179326].
The Liverpool View: Predicting whether the Bank of England will raise interest rates in February
Milas, K. (2022). The Liverpool View: Predicting whether the Bank of England will raise interest rates in February. [University of Liverpool.].
2021
I’ve fine-tuned a tool that advises the Bank of England what interest rates to set – here’s what it says
Milas, K. (2021). I’ve fine-tuned a tool that advises the Bank of England what interest rates to set – here’s what it says. [The Conversation].
Has the Bank of England given up on inflation?
Milas, K. (2021). Has the Bank of England given up on inflation?. [LSE Business Review from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2021/12/14/has-the-bank-of-england-given-up-on-inflation/].
Turkey’s currency crisis and the threat of contagion
Milas, K. (2021). Turkey’s currency crisis and the threat of contagion. [The Financial Times (letter)].
The Bank of England’s response to rising inflation
Milas, K. (2021). The Bank of England’s response to rising inflation. [The London School of Economics and Political Science Business Review blog].
Minimum wage and the challenge for business
Milas, K. (2021). Minimum wage and the challenge for business. [The Times (letter). From: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/times-letters-minimum-wage-and-the-challenge-for-business-kfcswwlwc]. Retrieved from https://www.thetimes.co.uk/
Does it Matter where you Search? Twitter versus Traditional News Media
MILAS, C., PANAGIOTIDIS, T., & DERGIADES, T. (2021). Does It Matter Where You Search? Twitter versus Traditional News Media. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 53(7), 1757-1795. doi:10.1111/jmcb.12805
Rising temperatures might explain dip in Covid cases
Milas, K. (2021). Rising temperatures might explain dip in Covid cases. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/e91cd5af-91cd-4e67-b575-a1ec1e4562ef].
Pericles would balk at PM’s reopening gamble
Milas, K. (2021). Pericles would balk at PM’s reopening gamble. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/6cfed33f-7707-4a0b-8368-a273eff45296].
The impact of COVID-19 restrictions on UK growth and the benefits of full inoculation
Milas, K. (2021). The impact of COVID-19 restrictions on UK growth and the benefits of full inoculation. [The London School of Economics and Political Science Business Review blog: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2021/07/05/the-impact-of-covid-19-restrictions-on-uk-growth-and-the-benefits-of-full-inoculation/].
Communication is key to ending vaccine hesitancy
Milas, K. (2021). Communication is key to ending vaccine hesitancy. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/1ac49d77-76c6-4e56-9659-880dc91b5dff]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/1ac49d77-76c6-4e56-9659-880dc91b5dff
Guest Editorial: 5th AMEF
Panagiotidis, T., & Milas, C. (2021). Guest Editorial: 5th AMEF. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 80, 691-692. doi:10.1016/j.qref.2021.02.009
On the economic impact of aggregate liquidity shocks: The case of the UK
Ellington, M., & Milas, C. (2021). On the economic impact of aggregate liquidity shocks: The case of the UK. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 80, 737-752. doi:10.1016/j.qref.2018.09.008
From the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Challenges and the Way Forward
From the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Challenges and the Way Forward. SSRN paper from: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3812394
Milas, K. (n.d.). From the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis to the COVID-19 Pandemic: Challenges and the Way Forward. SSRN paper from: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3812394. Retrieved from https://ssrn.com/abstract=3812394
Unemployment Claims During COVID-19 and Economic Support Measures in the U.S.
2020
If students don’t get zero rates, how will the public?
Milas, K. (2020). If students don’t get zero rates, how will the public?. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/e88f1f69-3fa4-4343-a5b3-0df998bc13ed]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/e88f1f69-3fa4-4343-a5b3-0df998bc13ed
With a W-shaped recession looming and debt piling up, the government should start issuing GDP-linked bonds
Milas, K. (2020). With a W-shaped recession looming and debt piling up, the government should start issuing GDP-linked bonds. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/gdp-linked-bonds/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/gdp-linked-bonds/
Economics at a crossroads (again): how to restore confidence in the profession after COVID-19
Hengel, E., & Milas, K. C. (2020). Economics at a crossroads (again): how to restore confidence in the profession after COVID-19. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog. Available from: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/economics-at-a-crossroads-covid19/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/economics-at-a-crossroads-covid19/
Who got it right? New LSE research on the effectiveness of lockdowns
Dergiades, T., Milas, K., Mossialos, E., Panagiotidis, T., Thompson, L., & Wharton, G. (2020). Who got it right? New LSE research on the effectiveness of lockdowns. [LSE COVID-19 blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/covid19/2020/09/17/who-got-it-right-new-lse-research-on-the-effectiveness-of-lockdowns/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
How to avoid a coronavirus debt crisis? Issue a new type of government bonds linked to GDP
Milas, K. (2020). How to avoid a coronavirus debt crisis? Issue a new type of government bonds linked to GDP. [The Conversation]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
COVID-19 and economic lessons from previous pandemics
Milas, K. (2020). COVID-19 and economic lessons from previous pandemics. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog. From: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/covid-19-and-economic-lessons-from-previous-pandemics/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
It’s far too soon to judge who ‘got it right’ on Brexit.
Milas, K. (2020). It’s far too soon to judge who ‘got it right’ on Brexit.. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/6ce0eeb6-442d-11ea-a43a-c4b328d9061c]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/6ce0eeb6-442d-11ea-a43a-c4b328d9061c
A mixed frequency approach for stock returns and valuation ratios
Dergiades, T., Milas, K. C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2020). A mixed frequency approach for stock returns and valuation ratios. Economics Letters. doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2019.108861
Effectiveness of Government Policies in Response to the first COVID-19 Outbreak
Dergiades, T., Milas, C., Mossialos, E., & Panagiotidis, T. (2020). Effectiveness of Government Policies in Response to the first COVID-19 Outbreak. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3602004
2019
We ‘experts’ should take this lack of trust seriously
Milas, K. C. (2019). We ‘experts’ should take this lack of trust seriously. [The Financial Times (letter). From: https://www.ft.com/content/0601c826-fcdb-11e9-a354-36acbbb0d9b6]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/0601c826-fcdb-11e9-a354-36acbbb0d9b6
How Brexit uncertainty is hurting the UK economy – in four charts
Milas, K. C. (2019). How Brexit uncertainty is hurting the UK economy – in four charts. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/how-brexit-uncertainty-is-hurting-the-uk-economy-in-four-charts-122987]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
No-deal Cabinet: time for another Bank of England stress test
Milas, K. C. (2019). No-deal Cabinet: time for another Bank of England stress test. [The LSE British Politics and Policy blog. Available from: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/no-deal-cabinet/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/no-deal-cabinet/
It may be better not to know how disorderly Brexit can be
Milas, K. C. (2019). It may be better not to know how disorderly Brexit can be. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/b99aead4-ad5d-11e9-8030-530adfa879c2]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/b99aead4-ad5d-11e9-8030-530adfa879c2
Non-performing loans and sovereign credit ratings
Boumparis, P., Milas, K. C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2019). Non-performing loans and sovereign credit ratings. International Review of Financial Analysis, 64, 301-314. doi:10.1016/j.irfa.2019.06.002
Will the Bank of England cut interest rates before the Brexit deadline?
Milas, K. C. (2019). Will the Bank of England cut interest rates before the Brexit deadline?. [London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog: https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/bank-of-england-interest-rates-brexit-deadline/]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
All bets on for the next Bank of England governor
Milas, K. C. (2019). All bets on for the next Bank of England governor. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/5177fe74-7d56-11e9-81d2-f785092ab560]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/5177fe74-7d56-11e9-81d2-f785092ab560
A country’s reputation rests on trustworthiness
Milas, K. C. (2019). A country’s reputation rests on trustworthiness. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/b37ee130-8dd4-11e9-a1c1-51bf8f989972]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/b37ee130-8dd4-11e9-a1c1-51bf8f989972
Global Liquidity, Money Growth and UK Inflation
Ellington, M., & Milas, K. (2019). Global Liquidity, Money Growth and UK Inflation. Journal of Financial Stability, 42, 67-74. doi:10.1016/j.jfs.2019.05.012
Global liquidity, money growth and UK inflation
Ellington, M., & Milas, C. (2019). Global liquidity, money growth and UK inflation. Journal of Financial Stability, 42, 67-74. doi:10.1016/j.jfs.2019.05.012
Tory leadership race could undermine confidence in UK economy
Milas, K. C. (2019). Tory leadership race could undermine confidence in UK economy. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/tory-leadership-race-could-undermine-confidence-in-uk-economy-117934]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
The UK economy is hostage to Brexit political drama
Milas, K. C. (2019). The UK economy is hostage to Brexit political drama. [London School of Economics and Political Science Business Review blog]. Retrieved from https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
Brexit uncertainty has hurt UK economy – extending Article 50 could hurt it even more
Milas, K. C. (2019). Brexit uncertainty has hurt UK economy – extending Article 50 could hurt it even more. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/brexit-uncertainty-has-hurt-uk-economy-extending-article-50-could-hurt-it-even-more-112568]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
Twitter Influences Markets More than Traditional Media
Milas, K. C., Panagiotidis, T., & Dergiades, T. (2019). Twitter Influences Markets More than Traditional Media. [Barron’s Investment News and Analysis]. Retrieved from https://www.barrons.com/
2018
What moves markets more, Twitter or traditional news?
Milas, K. C., Panagiotidis, T., & Dergiades, T. (2018). What moves markets more, Twitter or traditional news?. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/what-moves-markets-more-twitter-or-traditional-news-107854]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
On what grounds would we be able to achieve a better withdrawal deal?
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. T. (2018). On what grounds would we be able to achieve a better withdrawal deal?. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/a9e3cb10-e99f-11e8-a34c-663b3f553b35
Can we really get a ‘better’ deal?
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). Can we really get a ‘better’ deal?. [LSE Business Review blog. Available at: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2018/11/16/can-we-really-get-a-better-deal/].
Trump is right to critique the Federal Reserve, but his attacks are in the wrong direction
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). Trump is right to critique the Federal Reserve, but his attacks are in the wrong direction. [LSE American Politics and Policy blog: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/usappblog/2018/11/16/trump-is-right-to-critique-the-federal-reserve-but-his-attacks-are-in-the-wrong-direction/].
Are we witnessing a ‘deal dividend’ effect on the economy?
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). Are we witnessing a ‘deal dividend’ effect on the economy?. [LSE Blog Politics. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/brexit-deal-dividend-effect/]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/brexit-deal-dividend-effect/
Pushing the BoE to the limit: what a no-deal Brexit will mean for UK exchange and interest rates
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). Pushing the BoE to the limit: what a no-deal Brexit will mean for UK exchange and interest rates. [LSE Blog Politics. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/bank-of-england-no-deal/]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/bank-of-england-no-deal/
BoE governor is not a football captain on loan
Milas, K. C. (2018). BoE governor is not a football captain on loan. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/913a0b08-af7d-11e8-8d14-6f049d06439c]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/913a0b08-af7d-11e8-8d14-6f049d06439c
Don’t dismiss the possibility of a cut in the Bank of England’s policy rate
Milas, K. C. (2018). Don’t dismiss the possibility of a cut in the Bank of England’s policy rate. [LSE Business Review. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/businessreview/2018/08/04/dont-dismiss-the-possibility-of-a-cut-in-the-bank-of-englands-policy-rate/].
Does doing well in the World Cup bring a 'feel-good' boost to the UK economy?
Ellington, M., & Milas, K. (2018). Does doing well in the World Cup bring a 'feel-good' boost to the UK economy?. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/does-doing-well-in-the-world-cup-bring-a-feel-good-boost-to-the-uk-economy-99887]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
How Cabinet resignations and the Chequers proposal could destabilise the economy
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). How Cabinet resignations and the Chequers proposal could destabilise the economy. [LSE Blog Politics. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/cabinet-resignations-chequers-economy/]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/cabinet-resignations-chequers-economy/
Carney right to question necessity of a rate rise
Milas, K. C. (2018). Carney right to question necessity of a rate rise. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/651238ec-46f1-11e8-8ae9-4b5ddcca99b3]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/651238ec-46f1-11e8-8ae9-4b5ddcca99b3
How should Theresa May respond to Jeremy Corbyn’s customs union plan?
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). How should Theresa May respond to Jeremy Corbyn’s customs union plan?. [London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/customs-union-may-corbyn/].
Boris’s arguments would have made Gorgias jealous
Milas, K. C. (2018). Boris’s arguments would have made Gorgias jealous. [The Financial Times (letter)]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/8953e7ba-10f4-11e8-8cb6-b9ccc4c4dbbb
Government should treat its Brexit studies like working papers: circulate them for feedback
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2018). Government should treat its Brexit studies like working papers: circulate them for feedback. [London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
Trend in BoE forecasts does not support claim of anti-Brexit bias
Milas, K. C. (2018). Trend in BoE forecasts does not support claim of anti-Brexit bias. [The Financial Times (letter)]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/8f69ba32-fb7b-11e7-9b32-d7d59aace167
2017
Brexit assessments: ignorance isn’t bliss — quantitative forecasts do matter
Milas, K. C. (2017). Brexit assessments: ignorance isn’t bliss — quantitative forecasts do matter. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/brexit-impact-quantitative-forecasts/
Economic policy uncertainty and sovereign credit rating decisions: Panel quantile evidence for the Eurozone
Boumparis, P., Milas, K. C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2017). Economic policy uncertainty and sovereign credit rating decisions: Panel quantile evidence for the Eurozone. Journal of International Money and Finance, 79, 39-71. doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.08.007
On the Role of the Credit Rating Agencies in the Euro Zone Crisis
Boumparis, P., Milas, C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2017). On the Role of the Credit Rating Agencies in the Euro Zone Crisis. In Political Economy Perspectives on the Greek Crisis (pp. 177-203). Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-319-63706-8_8
Why the Bank of England should change how it publishes the future path of interest rates
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2017). Why the Bank of England should change how it publishes the future path of interest rates. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/future-path-interest-rates/
An assessment of the inflation targeting experience
Dergiades, T., Milas, K. C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2017). An assessment of the inflation targeting experience. In Central Bank of Estonia Working Paper No 11/2017.
How will a Bank of England interest rate hike affect the economy?
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2017). How will a Bank of England interest rate hike affect the economy?. [The London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog. From: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/how-will-a-bank-of-england-interest-rate-hike-affect-the-economy/]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
I guess my module puts me firmly on the hit list
Milas, K. C. (2017). I guess my module puts me firmly on the hit list. [The Financial Times (Letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/3e2b504c-b970-11e7-9bfb-4a9c83ffa852]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/3e2b504c-b970-11e7-9bfb-4a9c83ffa852
I guess my module puts me firmly on the hit list
Milas, K. C. (2017). I guess my module puts me firmly on the hit list. [The Financial Times].
An independent Scotland may yet save the day!
Milas, K. C. (2017). An independent Scotland may yet save the day!. [The Financial Times (letter)]. Retrieved from https://www.ft.com/content/be4dbaa0-30b6-11e7-9555-23ef563ecf9a
Hard Evidence: does a lower pound boost manufacturing?
Milas, K. C. (2017). Hard Evidence: does a lower pound boost manufacturing?. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/hard-evidence-does-a-lower-pound-boost-manufacturing-77052]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
Liquidity Shocks and Real GDP Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Time-varying Parameter VAR
Ellington, M. T., Milas., & Florakis. (2017). Liquidity Shocks and Real GDP Growth: Evidence from a Bayesian Time-varying Parameter VAR. Journal of International Money and Finance, 72, 93-117. doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2016.12.002
Brexiteers hope to rebalance the economy towards exports, but this risks proving a naïve myth
Milas, K. C., & Ellington. (2017). Brexiteers hope to rebalance the economy towards exports, but this risks proving a naïve myth. [London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
Fair or not? How credit rating agencies calculated their ratings during the Eurozone crisis
Milas, K. C., Boumparis, P., & Panagiotidis, T. (2017). Fair or not? How credit rating agencies calculated their ratings during the Eurozone crisis. [London School of Economics and Political Science European Politics and Policy blog: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2017/03/23/fair-or-not-credit-rating-agencies-eurozone-crisis/]. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
UK budget 2017: why upcoming Brexit uncertainty will put bright economic outlook to the test
Milas, K. C., & Ellington, M. (2017). UK budget 2017: why upcoming Brexit uncertainty will put bright economic outlook to the test. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/uk-budget-2017-why-upcoming-brexit-uncertainty-will-put-bright-economic-outlook-to-the-test-74220].
2016
Lagarde’s staying on at the IMF — no surprises there
Milas, K. C. (2016). Lagarde’s staying on at the IMF — no surprises there. [The Financial Times (letter). Available from: https://www.ft.com/content/68aa23d6-c61c-11e6-8f29-9445cac8966f].
Brexit and the Gordian knot of the UK productivity puzzle
Ellington, M., & Milas, K. C. (2016). Brexit and the Gordian knot of the UK productivity puzzle. [London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/brexit-and-the-productivity-puzzle/].
Business challenges and access to finance after the BREXIT vote
Milas, K. C. (2016). Business challenges and access to finance after the BREXIT vote. [Breakfast Briefing talk at Liverpool University]. Retrieved from https://www.liverpool.ac.uk/
Let Mark Carney do his job – why this is not the time to replace the Governor of the Bank of England
Milas, K. C. (2016). Let Mark Carney do his job – why this is not the time to replace the Governor of the Bank of England. [London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/why-this-is-not-the-time-to-replace-the-governor-of-the-bank-of-england/].
Perils of growth forecasts in wake of Brexit vote
Milas, K. C. (2016). Perils of growth forecasts in wake of Brexit vote. [The Financial Times (letter)].
Fiscal Policy Sustainability in the Euro Periphery: A Nonlinear Analysis
De Santis, R. A., Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2016). Fiscal Policy Sustainability in the Euro Periphery: A Nonlinear Analysis. In Public Sector Economics and the Need for Reforms (pp. 337-370). The MIT Press. doi:10.7551/mitpress/9780262034449.003.0008
Did Bank of England governor speech shore up confidence in Brexit UK?
Milas, K. C., & Legrenzi, G. (2016). Did Bank of England governor speech shore up confidence in Brexit UK?. [The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/did-bank-of-england-governor-speech-shore-up-confidence-in-brexit-uk-61603]. Retrieved from https://theconversation.com/
UK Treasury Brexit report is overly negative
Milas, K. C. (2016). UK Treasury Brexit report is overly negative. The Conversation. Available from: https://theconversation.com/uk-treasury-brexit-report-is-overly-negative-59849.
Fiscal Policy Sustainability in the Euro Periphery: A Nonlinear Analysis
De Santis, R. A., Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2016). Fiscal Policy Sustainability in the Euro Periphery: A Nonlinear Analysis. In Public Sector Economics and the Need for Reforms (pp. 337-370). The MIT Press. doi:10.7551/mitpress/10638.003.0013
If UK votes for Brexit, its borrowing costs will soar – here’s why
Milas, C. (2016). If UK votes for Brexit, its borrowing costs will soar – here’s why. The Conversation.
2015
How Twitter can see the financial future – and change it
Milas, C. (2015). How Twitter can see the financial future – and change it. The Conversation, 9 November 2015. From: https://theconversation.com/how-twitter-can-see-the-financial-future-and-change-it-50338.
Has the crisis affected the behavior of the rating agencies? Panel Evidence from the Eurozone
Boumparis, P., Milas, C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2015). Has the crisis affected the behavior of the rating agencies? Panel Evidence from the Eurozone. Economics Letters, 136, 118-124. doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2015.09.011
Fiscal policy adjustments in the euro area stressed countries: new evidence from non-linear models with state-varying thresholds
De Santis, R., Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2015). Fiscal policy adjustments in the euro area stressed countries: new evidence from non-linear models with state-varyingthresholds. European Central Bank Working Paper No. 1858. doi:10.2866/95055
Let's not overplay the benefits of debt relief
Milas, C., Boumparis, P., & Panagiotidis, T. (2015). Let's not overplay the benefits of debt relief. The Kathimerini.
To raise or not to raise interest rates?
Milas, C. (2015). To raise or not to raise interest rates?. LSE British Politics and Policy Blog. Retrieved from http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/
Greece: the Syriza government is behaving like Diogenes the Cynic – here’s why
Milas, C. (2015). Greece: the Syriza government is behaving like Diogenes the Cynic – here’s why. The Conversation.
Tweets, Google Trends and Sovereign Spreads in the GIIPS
Dergiades, T., Milas, C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2015). Tweets, Google Trends and Sovereign Spreads in the GIIPS. Oxford Economic Papers, 67(2), 406-432. doi:10.1093/oep/gpu046
When Greece will be at default? A short economic and political approach
Milas, C., Legrenzi, G., & Stergiou, L. (Eds.) (2015). When Greece will be at default? A short economic and political approach. Stergiou Limited.
The importance of financial indicators for macroeconomic modelling with an application to the UK
Milas, C. (2015). The importance of financial indicators for macroeconomic modelling with an application to the UK. University of Birmingham.
Listen to daedalus
Milas, C. (2015). Listen to daedalus. Economist (United Kingdom), 411(8922).
Distribution forecast targeting in an open-economy, macroeconomic volatility and financial implications
Flamini, A., & Milas, C. (2015). Distribution forecast targeting in an open-economy, macroeconomic volatility and financial implications. Journal of Financial Stability, 16, 89-105. doi:10.1016/j.jfs.2014.12.001
2014
Currency union's extra headache
Milas, C. (2014). Currency union's extra headache. The Financial Times (letter), 10 February 2014.
More on why the government's policy in dealing with the rising debt burden in the current low growth environment is indeed justified, 7 January 2014
Milas, C. (2014). More on why the government's policy in dealing with the rising debt burden in the current low growth environment is indeed justified, 7 January 2014. London School of Economics and Political Science British Politics blog. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/archives/38813.
On Stock Market Illiquidity and Real-Time GDP Growth
Florackis, C., Giorgioni, G., Kostakis, A., & Milas, C. (2014). On Stock Market Illiquidity and Real-Time GDP Growth. Journal of International Money and Finance, 44, 210-229. doi:10.1016/j.jimonfin.2014.02.006
2013
Financial crises and monetary policy: Evidence from the UK
Martin, C., & Milas, C. (2013). Financial crises and monetary policy: Evidence from the UK. Journal of Financial Stability, 9(4), 654-661. doi:10.1016/j.jfs.2012.08.002
'A varying threshold linked to debt history and crisis fears'
Milas, C., & Legrenzi, G. (2013). 'A varying threshold linked to debt history and crisis fears'. The Financial Times (letter), 7 May.
'Brexit' talk is unsettling investors - and the wider community
Milas, C. (2013). 'Brexit' talk is unsettling investors - and the wider community. The Guardian, 13 July 2013. Available from: http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2013/jul/13/brexit-unsettling-uk-investors-economy.
'Brexit' would hit UK credit score
Milas, C. (2013). 'Brexit' would hit UK credit score. The Financial Times (letter), 15 January.
A (simple) justification for Carney's "7% unemployment rate threshold"
Milas, C. (2013). A (simple) justification for Carney's "7% unemployment rate threshold". London School of Economics, British Politics and Policy Blog, 27 August 2013. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/archives/35955.
An escape valve is useless in heavy rain or a strong wind
Milas, C., & Legrenzi, G. (2013). An escape valve is useless in heavy rain or a strong wind. The Financial Times (letter), 3 April.
Crunching British exit from the EU
Milas, C. (2013). Crunching British exit from the EU. The Financial Times (letter), 7 November.
Do royal babies boost the UK economy?
Milas, C. (2013). Do royal babies boost the UK economy?. London School of Economics, British Politics and Policy Blog, 26 July 2013. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/archives/35289.
Hercules relied on help - so should the eurozone leaders
Milas, C. (2013). Hercules relied on help - so should the eurozone leaders. The Financial Times (letter), 11 October.
Modelling the fiscal reaction functions of the GIPS based on state-varying thresholds
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2013). Modelling the fiscal reaction functions of the GIPS based on state-varying thresholds. Economics Letters, 121(3), 384-389. doi:10.1016/j.econlet.2013.09.011
Periphery may tempt investors' funds
Milas, C. (2013). Periphery may tempt investors' funds. The Financial Times (letter), 27 August.
QE policies reduce the impact of cuts
Milas, C. (2013). QE policies reduce the impact of cuts. The Financial Times (letter), 14 January.
The Bank of England's Inflation Report and what it means for the unemployment rate
Milas, C. (2013). The Bank of England's Inflation Report and what it means for the unemployment rate. London School of Economics, British Politics and Policy Blog, 13 November 2013. Available from: http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/archives/37692.
2012
Long-run debt sustainability and threshold adjustments: Non-linear empirical evidence from the GIEPS
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2012). Long-run debt sustainability and threshold adjustments: Non-linear empirical evidence from the GIEPS. Economics Bulletin, 32(3), 2586-2593.
Quantitative easing: a sceptical survey
Martin, C., & Milas, C. (2012). Quantitative easing: a sceptical survey. Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 28(4), 750-764. doi:10.1093/oxrep/grs029
NONLINEARITIES AND THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE GOVERNMENT'S INTERTEMPORAL BUDGET CONSTRAINT
LEGRENZI, G., & MILAS, C. (2012). NONLINEARITIES AND THE SUSTAINABILITY OF THE GOVERNMENT'S INTERTEMPORAL BUDGET CONSTRAINT. Economic Inquiry, 50(4), 988-999. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7295.2011.00402.x
Price Transmission in the EU Wholesale Petroleum Markets
Wlazlowski, S., Giulietti, M., Binner, J., & Milas, C. (2012). Price Transmission in the EU Wholesale Petroleum Markets. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 30(2), 165-172. doi:10.1080/07350015.2012.672290
'More weight for energy prices in inflation index'
Milas, C. (2012). 'More weight for energy prices in inflation index'. The Financial Times (letter), 22 March.
Financial conditions and nonlinearities in the European Central Bank (ECB) reaction function: In-sample and out-of-sample assessment
Milas, C., & Naraidoo, R. (2012). Financial conditions and nonlinearities in the European Central Bank (ECB) reaction function: In-sample and out-of-sample assessment. Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, 56(1), 173-189. doi:10.1016/j.csda.2011.06.032
Greece needs only a small life jacket
Milas, C. (2012). Greece needs only a small life jacket. The Financial Times (letter), 31 August.
Turtles would be a more fitting motif
Milas, C. (2012). Turtles would be a more fitting motif. The Financial Times (letter), 12 November.
2011
Real-Time Optimal Monetary Policy with Undistinguishable Model Parameters and Shock Processes Uncertainty
Flamini, A., & Milas, C. (2011). Real-Time Optimal Monetary Policy with Undistinguishable Model Parameters and Shock Processes Uncertainty. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 15(2). doi:10.2202/1558-3708.1845
Debt Sustainability and Financial Crises: Evidence from the GIIPS
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2011). Debt Sustainability and Financial Crises: Evidence from the GIIPS. CESifo Working Paper No. 3594.
Greeks justified in questioning rating
Milas, C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2011). Greeks justified in questioning rating. The Financial Times (letter), 11 March. Retrieved from http://presscuttings.ft.com/
Pearl Harbor lessons for the eurozone
Milas, C. (2011). Pearl Harbor lessons for the eurozone. The Financial Times (letter), 8 December.
Politicians must agree to save Greece
Milas, C. (2011). Politicians must agree to save Greece. The Financial Times (letter), 10 June. Retrieved from http://presscuttings.ft.com/
2010
Financial Market Liquidity and the Financial Crisis: An Assessment Using UK Data<sup>*</sup>
Martin, C., & Milas, C. (2010). Financial Market Liquidity and the Financial Crisis: An Assessment Using UK Data<sup>*</sup>. International Finance, 13(3), 443-459. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2362.2010.01269.x
The sub-prime crisis and UK monetary policy
Martin, C., & Milas, C. (2010). The sub-prime crisis and UK monetary policy. International Journal of Central Banking, 6(3), 119-144.
TESTING THE OPPORTUNISTIC APPROACH TO MONETARY POLICY
MARTIN, C., & MILAS, C. (2010). TESTING THE OPPORTUNISTIC APPROACH TO MONETARY POLICY. The Manchester School, 78(2), 110-125. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9957.2009.02133.x
THE COMPLEX RESPONSE OF MONETARY POLICY TO THE EXCHANGE RATE
Kharel, R. S., Martin, C., & Milas, C. (2010). THE COMPLEX RESPONSE OF MONETARY POLICY TO THE EXCHANGE RATE. Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 57(1), 103-117. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9485.2009.00509.x
Basel changes will hit Greece's debt
Milas, C. (2010). Basel changes will hit Greece's debt. The Financial Times (letter), 16 September. Retrieved from http://presscuttings.ft.com/
Rising bond spreads and speculation
Milas, C. (2010). Rising bond spreads and speculation. The Financial Times (letter), 20 October. Retrieved from http://presscuttings.ft.com/
2009
Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models
Clements, M. P., Milas, C., & van Dijk, D. (2009). Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models. International Journal of Forecasting, 25(2), 215-217. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.01.003
UNCERTAINTY AND MONETARY POLICY RULES IN THE UNITED STATES
MARTIN, C., & MILAS, C. (2009). UNCERTAINTY AND MONETARY POLICY RULES IN THE UNITED STATES. Economic Inquiry, 47(2), 206-215. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7295.2008.00160.x
Does high M4 money growth trigger large increases in UK inflation? Evidence from a regime-switching model
Milas, C. (2009). Does high M4 money growth trigger large increases in UK inflation? Evidence from a regime-switching model. Oxford Economic Papers, 61(1), 168-182. doi:10.1093/oep/gpn013
Editorial: Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models
Clements, M., Milas, C., & van Dijk, D. (2009). Editorial: Forecasting returns and risk in financial markets using linear and nonlinear models. International Journal of Forecasting, 25, 215-217.
Price dynamics in European petroleum markets
Wlazlowski, S., Giulietti, M., Binner, J., & Milas, C. (2009). Price dynamics in European petroleum markets. Energy Economics, 31(1), 99-108. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2008.08.009
2008
Out-of-sample forecasting of unemployment rates with pooled STVECM forecasts
Milas, C., & Rothman, P. (2008). Out-of-sample forecasting of unemployment rates with pooled STVECM forecasts. International Journal of Forecasting, 24(1), 101-121. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2007.12.003
2007
Forecasting interest rate swap spreads using domestic and international risk factors: evidence from linear and non‐linear models
Lekkos, I., Milas, C., & Panagiotidis, T. (2007). Forecasting interest rate swap spreads using domestic and international risk factors: evidence from linear and non‐linear models. Journal of Forecasting, 26(8), 601-619. doi:10.1002/for.1048
2006
Non-linear Real Exchange Rate Effects in the UK Labour Market
Milas, C., & Legrenzi, G. (2006). Non-linear Real Exchange Rate Effects in the UK Labour Market. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 10(1). doi:10.2202/1558-3708.1285
Book review
Milas, C. (2006). Book review. International Journal of Forecasting, 22(1), 198-199. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2005.06.001
Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles
Milas, C., Rothman, P., & van Dijk, D. (2006). Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles. Elsevier Science, Amsterdam. In the series Contributions to Economic Analysis (BOOK).
2005
The price-dividend relationship in inflationary and deflationary regimes
Madsen, J. B., & Milas, C. (2005). The price-dividend relationship in inflationary and deflationary regimes. Finance Research Letters, 2(4), 260-269. doi:10.1016/j.frl.2005.06.001
Non-linear inflationary dynamics: evidence from the UK
Arghyrou, M. (n.d.). Non-linear inflationary dynamics: evidence from the UK. Oxford Economic Papers, 57(1), 51-69. doi:10.1093/oep/gpi004
2004
Modelling Monetary Policy: Inflation Targeting in Practice
Martin, C., & Milas, C. (2004). Modelling Monetary Policy: Inflation Targeting in Practice. Economica, 71(282), 209-221. doi:10.1111/j.0013-0427.2004.00366.x
Common risk factors in the U.S. and UK interest rate swap markets: Evidence from a nonlinear vector autoregression approach
Lekkos, I., & Milas, C. (2004). Common risk factors in the U.S. and UK interest rate swap markets: Evidence from a nonlinear vector autoregression approach. Journal of Futures Markets, 24(3), 221-250. doi:10.1002/fut.10116
Forecasting the spot prices of various coffee types using linear and non‐linear error correction models
Milas, C., Otero, J., & Panagiotidis, T. (2004). Forecasting the spot prices of various coffee types using linear and non‐linear error correction models. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 9(3), 277-288. doi:10.1002/ijfe.245
Time-varying excess returns on UK government bonds: A non-linear approach
Lekkos, I., & Milas, C. (2004). Time-varying excess returns on UK government bonds: A non-linear approach. Journal of Banking & Finance, 28(1), 45-62. doi:10.1016/s0378-4266(02)00329-1
2003
Modelling official and parallel exchange rates in Colombia under alternative regimes: a non-linear approach
Milas, C., & Otero, J. (2003). Modelling official and parallel exchange rates in Colombia under alternative regimes: a non-linear approach. Economic Modelling, 20(1), 165-179. doi:10.1016/s0264-9993(01)00090-6
2002
Smooth transition vector error correction models for the spot prices of coffee
Milas, C., & Otero, J. (2002). Smooth transition vector error correction models for the spot prices of coffee. Applied Economics Letters, 9(14), 925-928. doi:10.1080/13504850210138513
Beyond the demand: the importance of supply-side and institutional factors in the growth of governments
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2002). Beyond the demand: the importance of supply-side and institutional factors in the growth of governments. Applied Economics Letters, 9(8), 523-527. doi:10.1080/13504850110099301
On The Dynamics Of Lending And Deposit Interest Rates In Emerging Markets: A Non-Linear Approach
Iregui, A. M., Milas, C., & Otero, J. (2002). On The Dynamics Of Lending And Deposit Interest Rates In Emerging Markets: A Non-Linear Approach. Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, 6(3). doi:10.2202/1558-3708.1093
The role of omitted variables in identifying a long-run equilibrium relationship for the Italian government growth
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2002). The role of omitted variables in identifying a long-run equilibrium relationship for the Italian government growth. International Tax and Public Finance, 9(4), 435-449. doi:10.1023/A:1016568003489
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2002). Unknown Title. International Tax and Public Finance, 9(4), 435-449. doi:10.1023/a:1016568003489
2001
Modelling the spot prices of various coffee types
Otero, J., & Milas, C. (2001). Modelling the spot prices of various coffee types. Economic Modelling, 18(4), 625-641. doi:10.1016/s0264-9993(00)00056-0
A Multivariate Approach to the Growth of Governments
Legrenzi, G., & Milas, C. (2002). A Multivariate Approach to the Growth of Governments. Public Finance Review, 30(1), 56-76. doi:10.1177/109114210203000104
Identifying the Factors that Affect Interest‐Rate Swap Spreads: Some Evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom
Lekkos, I., & Milas, C. (2001). Identifying the Factors that Affect Interest‐Rate Swap Spreads: Some Evidence from the United States and the United Kingdom. Journal of Futures Markets, 21(8), 737-768. doi:10.1002/fut.1803
Identifying the factors that affect interest rate swap spreads: some evidence from the US and the UK
Lekkos, I., & Milas, C. (2001). Identifying the factors that affect interest rate swap spreads: some evidence from the US and the UK. Journal of Futures Markets, 21, 737-768.
2000
Employment, output and political business cycle effects in the Greek non-tradable sector
Milas, C. K. (2000). Employment, output and political business cycle effects in the Greek non-tradable sector. Applied Economics, 32(2), 123-133. doi:10.1080/000368400322822
1999
Labor Market Decisions and Greek Manufacturing Competitiveness
Milas, C. (1999). Labor Market Decisions and Greek Manufacturing Competitiveness. Journal of Policy Modeling, 21(4), 505-513. doi:10.1016/s0161-8938(97)00159-2
Long-run structural estimation of labour market equations with an application to Greece
Milas, C. (1999). Long-run structural estimation of labour market equations with an application to Greece. Economic Modelling, 16(1), 149-161. doi:10.1016/s0264-9993(98)00036-4
1998
Demand for Greek imports using multivariate cointegration techniques
Milas, C. (1998). Demand for Greek imports using multivariate cointegration techniques. Applied Economics, 30(11), 1483-1492. doi:10.1080/000368498324823