Publications
Selected publications
- Causal inference with observational data: A tutorial on propensity score analysis (Journal article - 2023)
- ARMCHAIR FANS: MODELLING AUDIENCE SIZE FOR TELEVISED FOOTBALL MATCHES (Journal article - 2021)
- UNSCRIPTED DRAMA: SOCCER AUDIENCE RESPONSE TO SUSPENSE, SURPRISE AND SHOCK (Journal article - 2020)
- Bayesian forecasting of UEFA Champions League under alternative seeding regimes (Journal article - 2019)
- What is a good result in the first leg of a two-legged football match? (Journal article - 2015)
- Friday the 13th: The Empirics of Bad Luck (Journal article - 2015)
- Decision taking under pressure: Evidence on football manager dismissals in Argentina and their consequences (Journal article - 2012)
- Impact on Competitive Balance from Allowing Foreign Players in a Sports League: Evidence from European Soccer (Journal article - 2010)
- Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games (Journal article - 2010)
- Market concentration, macroeconomic uncertainty and monetary policy (Journal article - 2008)
2025
Does a super league tournament harm domestic leagues? Evidence from basketball's Euroleague
Buraimo, B., Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (n.d.). Does a super league tournament harm domestic leagues? Evidence from basketball's Euroleague. Managerial and Decision Economics. doi:10.1002/mde.4376
Improving children's health outcomes: The Effect of China's Urban and Rural Resident Basic Medical Insurance
2024
The importance of test order in external and standardized test results: The case of PISA 2018
van Grieken, R., Tena, J. D., Pires, L., Sanz, I., & Avendaño-Miranda, L. L. (n.d.). The importance of test order in external and standardized test results: The case of PISA 2018. PLOS ONE, 19(9), e0309980. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0309980
On the importance of internet access for children’s health and subjective well-being: the case of China
Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2024). On the importance of internet access for children’s health and subjective well-being: the case of China. Applied Economics, 1-13. doi:10.1080/00036846.2024.2384672
2023
Do 2 weeks of instruction time matter? Using a natural experiment to estimate the effect of a calendar change on students' performance
Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2023). Do 2 weeks of instruction time matter? Using a natural experiment to estimate the effect of a calendar change on students' performance. KYKLOS. doi:10.1111/kykl.12350
Implicit institutional incentives and individual decisions: Causal inference with deep learning models
Cabras, S., & Tena, J. D. (2023). Implicit institutional incentives and individual decisions: Causal inference with deep learning models. MANAGERIAL AND DECISION ECONOMICS, 44(6), 3739-3754. doi:10.1002/mde.3905
Emotional Shocks and Performance: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup
Tena, J. D., & Tovar, J. (2023). Emotional Shocks and Performance: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup. International Journal of Sport Finance, 18(3), 150-165. doi:10.32731/ijsf/183.082023.04
Causal inference with observational data: A tutorial on propensity score analysis
Narita, K., Tena, J. D., & Detotto, C. (2023). Causal inference with observational data: A tutorial on propensity score analysis. The Leadership Quarterly, 101678. doi:10.1016/j.leaqua.2023.101678
The influence of schooling on performance in chess and at the Olympics
Forrest, D., Tena, J. D., & Varela-Quintana, C. (n.d.). The influence of schooling on performance in chess and at the Olympics. Empirical Economics. doi:10.1007/s00181-022-02259-9
The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Education Learning
Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2023). The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Education Learning. In Addressing Inequities in Modern Educational Assessment (pp. 15-36). Springer International Publishing. doi:10.1007/978-3-031-45802-6_2
The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Education Learning
Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2023). The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Education Learning. In Addressing Inequities in Modern Educational Assessment: Bridging the Gap (pp. 1-205). doi:10.1007/978-3-031-45802-6_2
2022
FORCED TO PLAY TOO MANY MATCHES? A DEEP-LEARNING ASSESSMENT OF CROWDED SCHEDULE
Cabras, S., Delogu, M., & Tena Horrillo, J. D. D. (2022). FORCED TO PLAY TOO MANY MATCHES? A DEEP-LEARNING ASSESSMENT OF CROWDED SCHEDULE. Applied Economics. doi:10.1080/00036846.2022.2141462
Physical activity, leisure-time, cognition and academic grades: Connections and causal effects in Chinese students
Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2022). Physical activity, leisure-time, cognition and academic grades: Connections and causal effects in Chinese students. Journal of Asian Economics, 78, 101423. doi:10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101423
2021
Television audience demand for football: disaggregation by gender, age and socio-economic status
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., & Tena, J. D. (2021). Television audience demand for football: disaggregation by gender, age and socio-economic status. In A Modern Guide to Sports Economics. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781789906530.00013
ARMCHAIR FANS: MODELLING AUDIENCE SIZE FOR TELEVISED FOOTBALL MATCHES
Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., & Tena, J. D. (2021). ARMCHAIR FANS: MODELLING AUDIENCE SIZE FOR TELEVISED FOOTBALL MATCHES. European Journal of Operational Research. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2021.06.046
Estimating the effect of physical exercise on juveniles’ health status and subjective well-being in China
Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2021). Estimating the effect of physical exercise on juveniles’ health status and subjective well-being in China. Applied Economics, 1-12. doi:10.1080/00036846.2021.1922594
Does Sport Affect Health and Well-Being or Is It the Other Way Around? A Note on Reverse-Causality in Empirical Applications
Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2021). Does Sport Affect Health and Well-Being or Is It the Other Way Around? A Note on Reverse-Causality in Empirical Applications. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS, 22(2), 218-226. doi:10.1177/1527002520967400
2020
UNSCRIPTED DRAMA: SOCCER AUDIENCE RESPONSE TO SUSPENSE, SURPRISE AND SHOCK
Tena Horrillo, J. D. D., Forrest, D., McHale, I., & Buraimo, B. (2020). UNSCRIPTED DRAMA: SOCCER AUDIENCE RESPONSE TO SUSPENSE, SURPRISE AND SHOCK. Economic Inquiry, 58(2), 881-896. doi:10.1111/ecin.12874
2019
Bayesian forecasting of UEFA Champions League under alternative seeding regimes
Corona, F., Forrest, D. K., Tena Horrillo, J., & Wiper, M. (2019). Bayesian forecasting of UEFA Champions League under alternative seeding regimes. International Journal of Forecasting, 35(2), 722-732. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2018.07.009
Minimum wage and young workers: UK evidence
Fidrmuc, J., & Tena, J. D. (2019). Minimum wage and young workers: UK evidence.
2018
UK national minimum wage and labor market outcomes of young workers
Fidrmuc, J., & Tena, J. D. (2018). UK national minimum wage and labor market outcomes of young workers. ECONOMICS-THE OPEN ACCESS OPEN-ASSESSMENT E-JOURNAL, 12. doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2018-5
American beauty: trade flows and export costs of US movies
Meloni, G., Paolini, D., & Tena, J. D. (2018). American beauty: trade flows and export costs of US movies. JOURNAL OF CULTURAL ECONOMICS, 42(4), 701-716. doi:10.1007/s10824-018-9324-6
Attendance demand in a developing football market: the case of the Peruvian First Division
Tena Horrillo, J., Buraimo, B., & de la Piedra, J. D. (2018). Attendance demand in a developing football market: the case of the Peruvian First Division. European Sport Management Quarterly, 18(5), 671-686. Retrieved from https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/16184742.2018.1481446
Voting with your feet: migration flows and happiness
Marques, H., Pino, G., & Tena, J. D. (2018). Voting with your feet: migration flows and happiness. SERIES-JOURNAL OF THE SPANISH ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, 9(2), 163-187. doi:10.1007/s13209-018-0174-4
Do managerial skills matter? An analysis of the impact of managerial features on performance for Italian football
Detotto, C., Paolini, D., & Tena Horrillo, J. (2018). Do managerial skills matter? An analysis of the impact of managerial features on performance for Italian football. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 69(2), 270-282. doi:10.1057/s41274-017-0215-6
2017
Minimum Wage and Employment: Escaping the Parametric Straitjacket
Cabras, S., Fidrmuc, J., & de Dios Tena, J. (2017). Minimum Wage and Employment: Escaping the Parametric Straitjacket. ECONOMICS-THE OPEN ACCESS OPEN-ASSESSMENT E-JOURNAL, 11. doi:10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2017-15
AN ANALYSIS OF COUNTRY MEDAL SHARES IN INDIVIDUAL SPORTS AT THE OLYMPICS
Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2017). An analysis of country medal shares in individual sports at the Olympics. EUROPEAN SPORT MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY, 17(2), 117-131. doi:10.1080/16184742.2016.1248463
On the importance of the probabilistic model in identifying the most decisive games in a tournament
Corona, F., Horrillo, J. D. D. T., & Wiper, M. P. (2017). On the importance of the probabilistic model in identifying the most decisive games in a tournament. Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, 13(1). doi:10.1515/jqas-2016-0013
UK national minimum wage and labor market outcomes of young workers
Fidrmuc, J., & Tena, J. D. D. (2017). UK national minimum wage and labor market outcomes of young workers.
2016
A Bayesian non-parametric modeling to estimate student response to ICT investment
Cabras, S., & Tena Horrillo, J. D. D. (2016). A Bayesian non-parametric modeling to estimate student response to ICT investment.. Journal of applied statistics, 43(14), 2627-2642. doi:10.1080/02664763.2016.1142946
Geographical disaggregation of sectoral inflation. Econometric modelling of the Euro area and Spanish economies
Pino, G., Tena, J. D., & Espasa, A. (2016). Geographical disaggregation of sectoral inflation. Econometric modelling of the Euro area and Spanish economies. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 48(9), 799-815. doi:10.1080/00036846.2015.1088141
Geographical disaggregation of sectoral inflation. Econometric modelling of the Euro area and Spanish economies
Pino, G., Tena, J. D., & Espasa, A. (2016). Geographical disaggregation of sectoral inflation. Econometric modelling of the Euro area and Spanish economies. Applied Economics, 48(9), 799-815.
2015
What is a good result in the first leg of a two-legged football match?
Flores, R., Forrest, D., Pablo, C. D., & Tena Horrillo, J. D. D. (2015). What is a good result in the first leg of a two-legged football match?. European Journal of Operational Research, 247(02), 641-647. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2015.05.076
Friday the 13th: The Empirics of Bad Luck
Fidrmuc, J., & Tena, J. D. (2015). Friday the 13th: The Empirics of Bad Luck. KYKLOS, 68(3), 317-334. doi:10.1111/kykl.12085
Management Efficiency in Football: An Empirical Analysis of Two Extreme Cases
Jara, M., Paolini, D., & de Dios Tena Horrillo, J. (2015). Management Efficiency in Football: An Empirical Analysis of Two Extreme Cases. Managerial and Decision Economics, 36(5), 286-298. doi:10.1002/mde.2668
Chapter 10: Determinants of national medals totals at the summer Olympic Games: an analysis disaggregated by sport
Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2015). Chapter 10: Determinants of national medals totals at the summer Olympic Games: an analysis disaggregated by sport. In The Economics of Competitive Sports (pp. 166-184). Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781783474769.00017
Determinants of national medals totals at the summer Olympic Games: an analysis disaggregated by sport
Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2015). Determinants of national medals totals at the summer Olympic Games: an analysis disaggregated by sport. In The Economics of Competitive Sports. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781783474769.00017
The Economics of Competitive Sports
Rodríguez, P., Késenne, S., & Koning, R. (Eds.) (2015). The Economics of Competitive Sports. In . Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9781783474769
2014
Regional inflation dynamics using space–time models
Marques, H., Pino, G., & de Dios Tena Horrillo, J. (2014). Regional inflation dynamics using space–time models. Empirical Economics, 47(3), 1147-1172. doi:10.1007/s00181-013-0763-9
Capital investment and managerial efficiency a simple model for sport clubs
Paolini, D., & De Dios Tena, J. (2014). Capital investment and managerial efficiency a simple model for sport clubs. Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali, (3), 321-330.
2013
National Minimum Wage and Employment of Young Workers in the UK
Fidrmuc, J., & Tena, J. D. (2013). National Minimum Wage and Employment of Young Workers in the UK. CESifo Working Paper Series, (4286).
2012
Decision taking under pressure: Evidence on football manager dismissals in Argentina and their consequences
Flores, R., Forrest, D., & Tena, J. D. (2012). Decision taking under pressure: Evidence on football manager dismissals in Argentina and their consequences. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 222(3), 653-662. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2012.03.033
A multimarket approach for estimating a new Keynesian Phillips curve
Tena, J. D., Dresdner, J., & Araya, I. (2012). A multimarket approach for estimating a new Keynesian Phillips curve. Revista de Economia Aplicada, 20(58), 49-68.
Chapter 13: Explaining and Forecasting National Team Medals Totals at the Summer Olympic Games
Forrest, D., Ceballos, A., Flores, R., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2012). Chapter 13: Explaining and Forecasting National Team Medals Totals at the Summer Olympic Games. In International Handbook on the Economics of Mega Sporting Events. Edward Elgar Publishing. doi:10.4337/9780857930279.00020
Explaining and forecasting national team medals totals at the Summer Olympic Games
Forrest, D., Ceballos, A., Flores, R., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2012). Explaining and forecasting national team medals totals at the Summer Olympic Games. In INTERNATIONAL HANDBOOK ON THE ECONOMICS OF MEGA SPORTING EVENTS (pp. 208-224). Retrieved from https://www.webofscience.com/
Short or long-term contract? Firm’s optimal choice
Paolini, D., & Tena, J. D. D. (2012). Short or long-term contract? Firm’s optimal choice. Empirica, 39(1), 1-18. doi:10.1007/s10663-010-9152-1
2011
A realistic model for official interest rate movements and their consequences
de Dios Tena, J., & Otranto, E. (2011). A realistic model for official interest rate movements and their consequences. Applied Economics, 43(29), 4431-4447. doi:10.1080/00036846.2010.491463
Impact of importing foreign talent on performance levels of local co-workers
Alvarez, J., Forrest, D., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2011). Impact of importing foreign talent on performance levels of local co-workers. LABOUR ECONOMICS, 18(3), 287-296. doi:10.1016/j.labeco.2010.11.003
2010
Impact on Competitive Balance from Allowing Foreign Players in a Sports League: Evidence from European Soccer
Flores, R., Forrest, D., & Tena, J. D. (2010). Impact on Competitive Balance from Allowing Foreign Players in a Sports League: Evidence from European Soccer. KYKLOS, 63(4), 546-557. doi:10.1111/j.1467-6435.2010.00487.x
Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games
Forrest, D., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2010). Forecasting national team medal totals at the Summer Olympic Games. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 26(3), 576-588. doi:10.1016/j.ijforecast.2009.12.007
Forecasting Spanish Inflation Using the Maximum Disaggregation Level by Sectors and Geographical Areas
de Dios Tena, J., Espasa, A., & Pino, G. (2010). Forecasting Spanish Inflation Using the Maximum Disaggregation Level by Sectors and Geographical Areas. International Regional Science Review, 33(2), 181-204. doi:10.1177/0160017609336629
2009
Modelling monetary transmission in UK manufacturing industry
Tena, J. D. D., & Tremayne, A. R. (2009). Modelling monetary transmission in UK manufacturing industry. Economic Modelling, 26(5), 1053-1066. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2009.04.003
Modelling monetary transmission in UK manufacturing industry
Tena, J. D. D., & Tremayne, A. R. (2009). Modelling monetary transmission in UK manufacturing industry. Economic Modelling, 26(5), 1053-1066. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2009.04.003
2008
Market concentration, macroeconomic uncertainty and monetary policy
Giovannoni, F., & de Dios Tena, J. (2008). Market concentration, macroeconomic uncertainty and monetary policy. European Economic Review, 52(6), 1097-1123. doi:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2007.09.001
Explaining inflation and output volatility in chile: An empirical analysis of forty years
de Dios Tena, J., & Salazar, C. (2008). Explaining inflation and output volatility in chile: An empirical analysis of forty years. Cuadernos de Economia, 27(49), 259-279.
2007
Within-season dismissal of football coaches: Statistical analysis of causes and consequences
de Dios Tena, J., & Forrest, D. (2007). Within-season dismissal of football coaches: Statistical analysis of causes and consequences. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 181(1), 362-373. doi:10.1016/j.ejor.2006.05.024
2006
A proposal to obtain a long quarterly Chilean GDP series
De Dios Tena, J., Jerez, M., Sotoca, S., & Carvallo, N. (2006). A proposal to obtain a long quarterly Chilean GDP series. Cuadernos de Economia - Latin American Journal of Economics, 43(128), 285-299.