Publications
2024
Health and economic impacts of Lassa vaccination campaigns in West Africa.
Smith, D. R. M., Turner, J., Fahr, P., Attfield, L. A., Bessell, P. R., Donnelly, C. A., . . . Hollingsworth, T. D. (2024). Health and economic impacts of Lassa vaccination campaigns in West Africa.. Nature medicine. doi:10.1038/s41591-024-03232-y
2023
Anticipating Lassa-X: Modelling the Emergence of a Highly Transmissible Variant of Lassa Virus and Projecting Impacts of Reactive Vaccination Campaigns
Nixon, E., & Turner, J. (2023). Anticipating Lassa-X: Modelling the Emergence of a Highly Transmissible Variant of Lassa Virus and Projecting Impacts of Reactive Vaccination Campaigns. In http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4654912. Bologna.
Projecting the Health and Economic Impacts of Vaccination Against Lassa Fever in West Africa
Nixon, E., & Turner, J. (2023, November 28). Projecting the Health and Economic Impacts of Vaccination Against Lassa Fever in West Africa. In Fahr, Patrick and Bessell, Paul and Nixon, Emily and Pouwels, Koen and Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre and Turner, Joanne and Smith, David, Projecting the Health and Economic Impacts of Vaccination Against Lassa Fever in West Africa. 9TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INFECTIOUS DISEASE DYNAMICS:P2.004, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4654908. Bologna.
Anticipating Lassa-X: Modelling the Emergence of a Highly Transmissible Variant of Lassa Virus, and Projecting Impacts of Reactive Vaccination Campaigns
2021
Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide.
Metelmann, S., Pattni, K., Brierley, L., Cavalerie, L., Caminade, C., Blagrove, M. S. C., . . . Baylis, M. (2021). Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide.. One Health, 100221. doi:10.1016/j.onehlt.2021.100221
2020
Bayesian optimisation of restriction zones for bluetongue control.
Spooner, T., Jones, A. E., Fearnley, J., Savani, R., Turner, J., & Baylis, M. (2020). Bayesian optimisation of restriction zones for bluetongue control.. Scientific Reports, 10(1), 15139. doi:10.1038/s41598-020-71856-4
Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide
Metelmann, S., Pattni, K., Brierley, L., Cavalerie, L., Caminade, C., Blagrove, M., . . . Baylis, M. (2020). Impact of climatic, demographic and disease control factors on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in large cities worldwide. doi:10.1101/2020.07.17.20155226
2019
Bluetongue risk under future climates
Jones, A., Turner, J., Caminade, C. M., Heath, A., Wardeh, M., Kluiters, G., . . . Baylis, M. (2019). Bluetongue risk under future climates. Nature Climate Change, 9(2), 153-157. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0376-6
The effect of temperature, farm density and foot-and-mouth disease restrictions on the 2007 UK bluetongue outbreak
Turner, J., Jones, A. E., Heath, A. E., Wardeh, M., Caminade, C., Kluiters, G., . . . Baylis, M. (2019). The effect of temperature, farm density and foot-and-mouth disease restrictions on the 2007 UK bluetongue outbreak. Scientific Reports, 9. doi:10.1038/s41598-018-35941-z
2017
The role of climate change in a developing threat: the case of bluetongue in Europe
Baylis, M., Caminade, C., Turner, J., & Jones, A. E. (2017). The role of climate change in a developing threat: the case of bluetongue in Europe. REVUE SCIENTIFIQUE ET TECHNIQUE-OFFICE INTERNATIONAL DES EPIZOOTIES, 36(2), 467-478. doi:10.20506/rst.36.2.2667
Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Nino 2015 (vol 114, pg 119, 2016)
Caminade, C., Turner, J., Metelmann, S., Hesson, J. C., Blagrove, M. S. C., Solomon, T., . . . Baylis, M. (2017). Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Nino 2015 (vol 114, pg 119, 2016). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA, 114(7), E1301-E1302. doi:10.1073/pnas.1700746114
Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015
Caminade, C. M., Turner, J., Metelmann, S., Hesson, J. C., Blagrove, M. S. C., Solomon, T., . . . Baylis, M. (2017). Global risk model for vector-borne transmission of Zika virus reveals the role of El Niño 2015. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(1), 119-124. doi:10.1073/pnas.1614303114
2016
A model to assess the efficacy of vaccines for control of liver fluke infection
Turner, J., Howell, A., McCann, C., Caminade, C., Bowers, R. G., Williams, D., & Baylis, M. (2016). A model to assess the efficacy of vaccines for control of liver fluke infection. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 6. doi:10.1038/srep23345
2014
Inferences about the transmission of Schmallenberg virus within and between farms
Gubbins, S., Turner, J., Baylis, M., van der Stede, Y., van Schaik, G., Abrahantes, J. C., & Wilson, A. J. (2014). Inferences about the transmission of Schmallenberg virus within and between farms. PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE, 116(4), 380-390. doi:10.1016/j.prevetmed.2014.04.011
2013
Two-Host, Two-Vector Basic Reproduction Ratio (<i>R</i><sub>0</sub>) for Bluetongue
Turner, J., Bowers, R. G., & Baylis, M. (2013). Two-Host, Two-Vector Basic Reproduction Ratio (<i>R</i><sub>0</sub>) for Bluetongue. PLOS ONE, 8(1). doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0053128
2012
Modelling bluetongue virus transmission between farms using animal and vector movements.
Turner, J., Bowers, R. G., & Baylis, M. (2012). Modelling bluetongue virus transmission between farms using animal and vector movements.. Scientific reports, 2, 319. doi:10.1038/srep00319
Modelling bluetongue virus transmission between farms using animal and vector movements
Turner, J., Bowers, R. G., & Baylis, M. (2012). Modelling bluetongue virus transmission between farms using animal and vector movements. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2. doi:10.1038/srep00319
2009
Case studies in Bayesian microbial risk assessments
Kennedy, M. C., Clough, H. E., & Turner, J. (2009). Case studies in Bayesian microbial risk assessments. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH, 8. doi:10.1186/1476-069X-8-S1-S19
2008
A network model of <i>E</i>. <i>coli</i> O157 transmission within a typical UK dairy herd:: The effect of heterogeneity and clustering on the prevalence of infection
Turner, J., Bowers, R. G., Clancy, D., Behnke, M. C., & Christley, R. M. (2008). A network model of <i>E</i>. <i>coli</i> O157 transmission within a typical UK dairy herd:: The effect of heterogeneity and clustering on the prevalence of infection. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 254(1), 45-54. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.05.007
2007
Effectiveness of simulated interventions in reducing the estimated prevalence of <i>E-coli</i> O157: H7 in lactating cows in dairy herds
Vosough Ahmadi, B., Frankena, K., Turner, J., Velthuis, A. G. J., Hogeveen, H., & Huirne, R. B. M. (2007). Effectiveness of simulated interventions in reducing the estimated prevalence of <i>E-coli</i> O157: H7 in lactating cows in dairy herds. VETERINARY RESEARCH, 38(5), 755-771. doi:10.1051/vetres:2007029
2006
A semi-stochastic model of the transmission of <i>Escherichia coli</i> O157 in a typical UK dairy herd:: Dynamics, sensitivity analysis and intervention/prevention strategies
Turner, J., Bowers, R. G., Begon, M., Robinson, S. E., & French, N. P. (2006). A semi-stochastic model of the transmission of <i>Escherichia coli</i> O157 in a typical UK dairy herd:: Dynamics, sensitivity analysis and intervention/prevention strategies. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 241(4), 806-822. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2006.01.020
2005
Infection in social networks: Using network analysis to identify high-risk individuals
Christley, R. M., Pinchbeck, G. L., Bowers, R. G., Clancy, D., French, N. P., Bennett, R., & Turner, J. (2005). Infection in social networks: Using network analysis to identify high-risk individuals. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY, 162(10), 1024-1031. doi:10.1093/aje/kwi308
Prevalence and genetic diversity of <i>Campylobacter</i> spp. in environmental water samples from a 100-square-kilometer predominantly dairy farming area
Kemp, R., Leatherbarrow, A. J. H., Williams, L. J., Hart, C. A., Clough, H. E., Turner, J., . . . French, N. P. (2005). Prevalence and genetic diversity of <i>Campylobacter</i> spp. in environmental water samples from a 100-square-kilometer predominantly dairy farming area. APPLIED AND ENVIRONMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY, 71(4), 1876-1882. doi:10.1128/AEM.71.4.1876-1882.2005
2004
Frequency and spatial distribution of environmental <i>Campylobacter</i> spp.
Brown, P. E., Christensen, O. F., Clough, H. E., Diggle, P. J., Hart, C. A., Hazel, S., . . . French, N. P. (2004). Frequency and spatial distribution of environmental <i>Campylobacter</i> spp.. APPLIED AND ENVIRONMENTAL MICROBIOLOGY, 70(11), 6501-6511. doi:10.1128/AEM.70.11.6501-6511.2004
2003
A model appropriate to the transmission of a human food-borne pathogen in a multigroup managed herd
Turner, J., Begon, M., Bowers, R. G., & French, N. P. (2003). A model appropriate to the transmission of a human food-borne pathogen in a multigroup managed herd. PREVENTIVE VETERINARY MEDICINE, 57(4), 175-198. doi:10.1016/S0167-5877(03)00006-0
Modelling pathogen transmission: the interrelationship between local and global approaches
Turner, J., Begon, M., & Bowers, R. G. (2003). Modelling pathogen transmission: the interrelationship between local and global approaches. PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, 270(1510), 105-112. doi:10.1098/rspb.2002.2213
2002
A clarification of transmission terms in host-microparasite models: numbers, densities and areas
Begon, M., Bennett, M., Bowers, R. G., French, N. P., Hazel, S. M., & Turner, J. (2002). A clarification of transmission terms in host-microparasite models: numbers, densities and areas. EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION, 129(1), 147-153. doi:10.1017/S0950268802007148
2000
Temporal and spatial host-pathogen models with diverse types of transmission
Turner, J. (2000). Temporal and spatial host-pathogen models with diverse types of transmission. (PhD Thesis, The University of Liverpool).
1997
Community structure and the interplay between interspecific infection and competition
Bowers, R. G., & Turner, J. (1997). Community structure and the interplay between interspecific infection and competition. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY, 187(1), 95-109. doi:10.1006/jtbi.1997.0418