Publications
2019
Impact of recent and future climate change on vector-borne diseases
Caminade, C., McIntyre, K. M., & Jones, A. E. (2019). Impact of recent and future climate change on vector-borne diseases. ANNALS OF THE NEW YORK ACADEMY OF SCIENCES, 1436(1), 157-173. doi:10.1111/nyas.13950
2017
The role of climate change in a developing threat: the case of bluetongue in Europe
Baylis, M., Caminade, C., Turner, J., & Jones, A. E. (2017). The role of climate change in a developing threat: the case of bluetongue in Europe. REVUE SCIENTIFIQUE ET TECHNIQUE-OFFICE INTERNATIONAL DES EPIZOOTIES, 36(2), 467-478. doi:10.20506/rst.36.2.2667
Global Warming and Global Decrease in Vector-Borne Disease Prevalence and Mortality Reply
Caminade, C., McIntyre, K. M., & Jones, A. E. (2017). Global Warming and Global Decrease in Vector-Borne Disease Prevalence and Mortality Reply. JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 215(4), 661-662. doi:10.1093/infdis/jix022
2016
Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases: Where Are We Next Heading?
Caminade, C., McIntyre, M. K., & Jones, A. E. (2016). Climate Change and Vector-borne Diseases: Where Are We Next Heading?. JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 214(9), 1300-1301. doi:10.1093/infdis/jiw368
EPIDEMIOLOGY Malaria in a warmer West Africa
Caminade, C., & Jones, A. E. (2016). EPIDEMIOLOGY Malaria in a warmer West Africa. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 6(11), 984-985. doi:10.1038/nclimate3095
A dynamic, climate-driven model of Rift Valley fever
Leedale, J., Jones, A. E., Caminade, C., & Morse, A. P. (2016). A dynamic, climate-driven model of Rift Valley fever. Geospatial Health, 11(1s), 78-93. doi:10.4081/gh.2016.394
Environmental change and Rift Valley fever in eastern Africa: projecting beyond HEALTHY FUTURES
Taylor, D., Hagenlocher, M., Jones, A. E., Kienberger, S., Leedale, J., & Morse, A. P. (2016). Environmental change and Rift Valley fever in eastern Africa: projecting beyond HEALTHY FUTURES. GEOSPATIAL HEALTH, 11, 115-128. doi:10.4081/gh.2016.387
Projecting malaria hazard from climate change in eastern Africa using large ensembles to estimate uncertainty
Leedale, J., Tompkins, A. M., Caminade, C., Jones, A. E., Nikulin, G., & Morse, A. P. (2016). Projecting malaria hazard from climate change in eastern Africa using large ensembles to estimate uncertainty. GEOSPATIAL HEALTH, 11, 102-114. doi:10.4081/gh.2016.393
2015
Demonstration of successful malaria forecasts for Botswana using an operational seasonal climate model
MacLeod, D. A., Jones, A., Di Giuseppe, F., Caminade, C., & Morse, A. (2015). Demonstration of successful malaria forecasts for Botswana using an operational seasonal climate model. Environmental Research Letters, 10(4). doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044005
2014
Towards seasonal forecasting of malaria in India
Lauderdale, J. M., Caminade, C., Heath, A. E., Jones, A. E., MacLeod, D. A., Gouda, K. C., . . . Morse, A. P. (2014). Towards seasonal forecasting of malaria in India. MALARIA JOURNAL, 13. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-13-310
2012
Skill of ENSEMBLES seasonal re-forecasts for malaria prediction in West Africa
Jones, A. E., & Morse, A. P. (2012). Skill of ENSEMBLES seasonal re-forecasts for malaria prediction in West Africa. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 39. doi:10.1029/2012GL054040
The QWeCI Project: seamlessly linking climate science to society
Heath, A. E., Morse, A. P., Caminade, C., Jones, A. E., & MacLeod, D. (2012). The QWeCI Project: seamlessly linking climate science to society. In EGU General Assembly 2012 (pp. 1559). Vienna.
Development of dynamical weather-disease models to project and forecast malaria in Africa
Ermert, V., Fink, A. H., Morse, A. P., Jones, A. E., Paeth, H., Di Giuseppe, F., & Tompkins, A. M. (2012). Development of dynamical weather-disease models to project and forecast malaria in Africa. Malaria journal, 11(Suppl 1), P133. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-11-s1-p133
2011
Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa
Ermert, V., Fink, A. H., Jones, A. E., & Morse, A. P. (2011). Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. II. Calibration and validation for West Africa. MALARIA JOURNAL, 10. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-10-62
Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. I. Refining the parameter settings and mathematical formulation of basic processes based on a literature review
Ermert, V., Fink, A. H., Jones, A. E., & Morse, A. P. (2011). Development of a new version of the Liverpool Malaria Model. I. Refining the parameter settings and mathematical formulation of basic processes based on a literature review. MALARIA JOURNAL, 10. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-10-35
Mapping Rift Valley fever and malaria risk over West Africa using climatic indicators
Caminade, C., Ndione, J. A., Kebe, C. M. F., Jones, A. E., Danuor, S., Tay, S., . . . Morse, A. P. (2011). Mapping Rift Valley fever and malaria risk over West Africa using climatic indicators. ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, 12(1), 96-103. doi:10.1002/asl.296
2010
Application and Validation of a Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System Using a Dynamic Malaria Model
Jones, A. E., & Morse, A. P. (2010). Application and Validation of a Seasonal Ensemble Prediction System Using a Dynamic Malaria Model. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 23(15), 4202-4215. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI3208.1
2008
Impact of Climate Change on Malaria Risk in West Africa
Ermert, V., Fink, A. H., Morse, A. P., Jones, A. E., & Paeth, H. (2008). Impact of Climate Change on Malaria Risk in West Africa. In M. Judex, & H. -P. Thamm (Eds.), IMPETUS Atlas Benin (pp. 15-16). Bonn: University of Bonn. Retrieved from http://www.impetus.uni-koeln.de/index.php?id=201&type=123&L=1
2007
Climate prediction of El Nino malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania
Jones, A. E., Wort, U. U., Morse, A. P., Hastings, I. M., & Gagnon, A. S. (2007). Climate prediction of El Nino malaria epidemics in north-west Tanzania. MALARIA JOURNAL, 6. doi:10.1186/1475-2875-6-162
DEMETER-driven prediction of epidemic malaria in Africa: initial results from a continental-scale study
Jones, A., & Morse, A. (2007). DEMETER-driven prediction of epidemic malaria in Africa: initial results from a continental-scale study. CLIVAR Exchanges, (43), 34-35. Retrieved from http://eprints.soton.ac.uk/49384/