Recent publications

Recent publications from the Centre include:

Holmes, B., & McHale, I. G. (2024). Forecasting football match results using a player rating based model. International Journal of Forecasting, 40(1), 302-312. 

Baker, R. D., & McHale, I. G. (2023). A flexible mixed model for age-dependent performance: application to golf. JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS. 

Holmes, B., McHale, I. G., & Zychaluk, K. (2023). A Markov chain model for forecasting results of mixed martial arts contests. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 39(2), 623-640.

Quansah, T. K., Buraimo, B., & Lang, M. (2023). Determining the price of football: an analysis of matchday ticket prices in the English Premier League. EUROPEAN SPORT MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY.

Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2023). Do 2 weeks of instruction time matter? Using a natural experiment to estimate the effect of a calendar change on students' performance. KYKLOS.

Cabras, S., & Tena, J. D. (2023). Implicit institutional incentives and individual decisions: Causal inference with deep learning models. MANAGERIAL AND DECISION ECONOMICS, 44(6), 3739-3754.

Tena Horillo, J. D. D., & Tovar, J. (2023). Emotional Shocks and Performance: Evidence from the FIFA World Cup. International Journal of Sport Finance, 18(3), 150-165.

Parnell, D., Bond, A. J., Widdop, P., Groom, R., & Cockayne, D. (n.d.). Recruitment in elite football: a network approach. European Sport Management Quarterly, 1-17.

Narita, K., Tena, J. D., & Detotto, C. (2023). Causal inference with observational data: A tutorial on propensity score analysis. The Leadership Quarterly, 101678.

Suhonen, N., Saastamoinen, J., Forrest, D., & Kainulainen, T. (2023). Does IQ predict engagement with skill-based gambling? Large-scale evidence from horserace betting. JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL DECISION MAKING, 36(2).

Forrest, D., Tena, J. D., & Varela-Quintana, C. (n.d.). The influence of schooling on performance in chess and at the Olympics. Empirical Economics.

Cabras, S., Delogu, M., & Tena Horrillo, J. D. D. (2022). FORCED TO PLAY TOO MANY MATCHES? A DEEP-LEARNING ASSESSMENT OF CROWDED SCHEDULE. Applied Economics. 

Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2022). Physical activity, leisure-time, cognition and academic grades: Connections and causal effects in Chinese students. Journal of Asian Economics, 78, 101423.

Baker, R., & McHale, I. G. (2022). 'Form is temporary, class is permanent': identifying a longer-term hot hand in golf. JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS IN SPORTS, 18(4), 241-251.

Buraimo, B., Migali, G., & Simmons, R. (2022). Impacts of the Great Recession on sport: evidence from English Football League attendance demand. OXFORD ECONOMIC PAPERS-NEW SERIES, 74(1), 155-177.

Cockayne, D., Chadwick, S., & Sullivan, J. (2022). Chinese Football - From a State-Led Past to a Digital Future. JOURNAL OF GLOBAL SPORT MANAGEMENT, 7(3), 345-354.

Cashmore, V., Coster, N., Forrest, D., McHale, I., & Buraimo, B. (2022). Female jockeys- what are the odds?. JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC BEHAVIOR & ORGANIZATION, 202, 703-713. 

Bond, A. J., Cockayne, D., Ludvigsen, J. A. L., Maguire, K., Parnell, D., Plumley, D., . . . Wilson, R. (2022). COVID-19: the return of football fans. MANAGING SPORT AND LEISURE, 27(1-2), 102-112. 

McHale, I. G., & Holmes, B. (2022). Estimating transfer fees of professional footballers using advanced performance metrics and machine learning. European Journal of Operational Research. 

Manoli, A. E., Anagnostopoulos, C., Ahonen, A., Bolton, N., Bowes, A., Brown, C., Byers, T., Cockayne,D.,....Winand, M. (2022). Managing sport and leisure in the era of Covid-19. MANAGING SPORT AND LEISURE, 27(1-2), 1-6.

Buraimo, B., Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., & Tena, J. D. (2021). ARMCHAIR FANS: MODELLING AUDIENCE SIZE FOR TELEVISED FOOTBALL MATCHES. European Journal of Operational Research.

Buraimo, B., Coster, N., & Forrest, D. (2021). Spectator demand for the sport of kings. APPLIED ECONOMICS.

Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (2021). Transmission of Problem Gambling Between Adjacent Generations. JOURNAL OF GAMBLING STUDIES, 37(2), 711-722.

Bond, A., Widdop, P., Cockayne, D., & Parnell, D. (n.d.). Prosumption, Networks and Value during a Global Pandemic: Lockdown Leisure and COVID-19. LEISURE SCIENCES: an interdisciplinary journal , 43 (1-2). pp. 70-77.

Cockayne, D. (2021). Whose side are we on? Balancing economic interests with social concerns through a service-thinking approach. European Sport Management Quarterly, 21(1), 1-19.

Buraimo, B., Migali, G., & Simmons, R. (2021). Impacts of the Great Recession on sport: evidence from English Football League attendance demand. Oxford Economic Papers.

Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2021). Estimating the effect of physical exercise on juveniles’ health status and subjective well-being in China. Applied Economics, 1-12.

Guan, J., & Tena, J. D. (2021). Does Sport Affect Health and Well-Being or Is It the Other Way Around? A Note on Reverse-Causality in Empirical Applications. JOURNAL OF SPORTS ECONOMICS, 22(2), 218-226.

Cockayne, D. (2021). Whose side are we on? Balancing economic interests with social concerns through a service-thinking approach. EUROPEAN SPORT MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY, 21(1), 1-19.

Saastamoinen, J., Suhonen, N., Kainulainen, T., & Forrest, D. (2020). Does the Offline Environment Matter in Online Horse Race Betting Engagement?. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SPORT FINANCE, 15(4), 166-176.

Forrest, D., McHale, I., Tena Horrillo, J. D. & Buraimo, B. (2020). UNSCRIPTED DRAMA: SOCCER AUDIENCE RESPONSE TO SUSPENSE, SURPRISE AND SHOCK. Economic Inquiry, 58(2), 881-896.

Kharrat, T., McHale, I. G., & Peña, J. L. (2020). Plus-Minus Player Ratings for Soccer. European Journal of Operational Research, 283(2), 726-736.

Parnell, D., Bond, A. J., Widdop, P., & Cockayne, D. (2020). Football Worlds: business and networks during COVID-19. SOCCER AND SOCIETY, 22 (1-2). pp. 19-26.

Forrest, D., & McHale, I. G. (2019). Using statistics to detect match fixing in sport. IMA JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT MATHEMATICS.

Forrest, D. K., Baker, R., & Perez, L. (2019). Modelling demand for lotto using a novel method of correcting for endogeneity. Economic Modelling.

Kharrat, T., Boshnakov, G. N., McHale, I., & Baker, R. (2019). Flexible regression models for count data based on renewal processes: The country package. Journal of Statistical Software.

Scarf, P., Parma, R., & McHale, I. (2019). On outcome uncertainty and scoring rates in sport: The case of international rugby union. European Journal of Operational Research.

Asif, M., & McHale, I. G. (2019). A generalized non-linear forecasting model for limited overs international cricket. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING.

Suhonen, N., Saastamoinen, J., Kainulainen, T., & Forrest, D. (2018). Is timing everything in horse betting? Bet amount, timing and bettors' returns in pari-mutuel wagering markets. ECONOMICS LETTERS.

McHale, Ian G and Relton, Samuel D (2018) Identifying key players in soccer teams using network analysis and pass difficulty. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 268 (1). 339-347.

Baker, Rose D and McHale, Ian G (2018) Time-varying ratings for international football teamsEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 267 (2). 659-666.

Buraimo, Babatunde, Tena, J.D. and de la Piedra, Juan Diego (2018) Attendance demand in a developing football market: the case of the Peruvian first divisionEuropean Sport Management Quarterly. 1-16.

Detotto, Claudio, Paolini, DImitri and Tena, J. D (2018) Do managerial skills matter? An analysis of the impact of managerial features on performance for Italian footballJournal of the Operational Research Society, 69 (2). 270-282.

Tena Horrillo, J, Forrest, DK, Corona, Francisco and Wiper, Mike (2018) Bayesian forecasting of UEFA Champions League under alternative seeding regimesInternational Journal of Forecasting.

Forrest, D., McHale, I. G., Sanz, I., & Tena, J. D. (2017) An analysis of country medal shares in individual sports at the Olympics. EUROPEAN SPORT MANAGEMENT QUARTERLY, 17 (2), 117-131.

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