09:00 - 09:15 |
Welcome |
09:15 - 10:15 |
Chair: Athanasios Pantelous, University of Liverpool, UK Invited talk Latent Jump diffusion factor estimation for commodity Michael A. H. Dempster, University of Cambridge, UK |
10:15 - 10:45 |
Coffee break |
10:45 - 12:05 |
Session 1: Financial Mathematics Chair: Michael A. H. Dempster, University of Cambridge, UK |
Talk 1 |
Bilateral Wrong Way Risk Modelling: A Bessel Bridge Approach Sijing Wang, University of Reading, UK Martijn Pistorius, Imperial College London, UK Emese Lazar, University of Reading, UK
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Talk 2 |
Vessel valuation: Model formulation, estimation and optimal investment decision Ioannis Kyriakou, CASS Business School, City University London, UK Panos K. Pouliasis, CASS Business School, City University London, UK Nikos C. Papapostolou, CASS Business School, City University London, UK Nikos K. Nomikos, CASS Business School, City University London, UK
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Talk 3 |
Real-world Pricing and Hedging of Currency Derivatives based on Estimations from Historical Underlying Data under the Benchmark Approach Jin Sun, University of Technology Sydney, Australia, University of Zurich and ETH Zurich, Switzerland Eckhard Platen, University of Technology Sydney, Australia
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Talk 4 |
Finite Laplace transforms in fixed-income Maxim Litvak, UBS
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12:05 - 12:20 |
Break |
12:20 - 13:40 |
Session 2: Forecasting Chair: Georgios Sermpinis, University of Glasgow, UK
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Talk 1 |
An Interval Regression Model and Its Application in Forecasting Range-based Volatility of Financial Markets Wei Yang, Shanxi University, China Ai Han, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Jinfeng Shi, Shanxi University, China Shouyang Wang, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China
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Talk 2 |
US Oil Industry Stock Prices: Fundamental Forecasting Factors Tobias Basse, Leibniz University of Hanover, Germany Frederik Kunze, Leibniz University of Hanover, Germany Hans-Jörg von Mettenheim, Leibniz University of Hanover, Germany Christoph Wegener, Leibniz University of Hanover, Germany
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Talk 3 |
Cross-Border Exchanges and Volatility Forecasting Abhinav Goyal, University of Liverpool, UK Vasileios Kallinterakis, University of Liverpool, UK Dimos Kambouroudis, University of Stirling, UK Jason Laws, University of Liverpool, UK
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Talk 4 |
Portfolio selection in Heston's stochastic volatility model using a contingent claim Aihua Zhang, University of Leicester, UK Yongmin Zhang, Nottingham University Business School China, China Yingxue Zhao, Zhejiang University of Finance & Economics, China Daniel Borgia, University of Idaho, USA
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13:40 - 15:00 |
Lunch break |
15:00 - 16:00 |
Chair: Athanasios Pantelous, University of Liverpool, UK Invited Talk The Determinants of Convenience Yields Marcel Prokopczuk, Leibniz University of Hanover, Germany
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16:00 - 16:30 |
Coffee break |
16:30 - 17:50 |
Session 3: Commodities Chair: Marcel Prokopczuk, Leibniz University of Hanover, Germany
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Talk 1 |
Technical trading rules performance: the case of crude oil market Jason Laws, University of Liverpool, UK Ioannis Psaradellis, University of Liverpool, UK Athanasios A. Pantelous, University of Liverpool, UK Georgios Sermpinis, University of Glasgow, UK
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Talk 2 |
ARFIMA models and the Hurst Measures: An Investigation of Com-modity Daily Index and Futures Prices Hirbod Assa, University of Liverpool, UK Meng Wang, University of Liverpool, UK Calum G. Turvey, Cornell University, USA
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Talk 3 |
A developed four-factor model based on the Schwartz model system Christian O. Ewald, University of Glasgow, UK Zhe Zong, University of Glasgow, UK
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Talk 4 |
Big Data Analysis for Financial Derivatives Hirbod Assa, University of Liverpool, UK Tianyuan Ni, University of Liverpool, UK
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20:00 - 23:00 |
Conference Dinner |